trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 100% | 100% | +2.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -12.2% | -20.6% | 60% | 40% | -1.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 54% | 23% | -6.4% |
| all | 13 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 54% | 23% | -6.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 23% | -6.4% |
| 10% | -22.6% | 8% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 0% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -31.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 98¢ | $70 | $72 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 28? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-63%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Jun 26 | $470 | +$64 | +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$9 | -92% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $56 | −$14 | -24% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 17 | $48 | +$17 | +35% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $91 | +$6 | +7% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $10 | −$3 | -26% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | May 28 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | May 27 | $230 | −$23 | -10% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 20? | May 20 | $47 | +$1 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | May 18 | $25 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Apr 23 | $61 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? | Apr 23 | $63 | −$4 | -6% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22? | Apr 22 | $7 | +$1 | +10% |