Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:43:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6ea4…69ac crypto 433 markets active 2d ago coverage 152d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$3,679 (-8%) realized −$3,679 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate31%133W / 297L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$104per market
Trades / day17.5pace
Fees−$11est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 152d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$7,486
other 2% −$397
sports 1% +$69
world 0% +$115
economics 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -21.1% -28.7% 24% 21% -48.3%
≤30d 148 -23.6% -30.9% 24% 22% -48.3%
≤90d 148 -23.6% -30.9% 24% 22% -48.3%
all 430 -16.4% -24.4% 31% 30% -31.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.4% 30% -31.0%
10% -31.6% 28% -37.6%
15% -38.2% 27% -43.6%
20% -44.3% 23% -49.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -48% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -22% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$65 vs −$55 · ×1.18 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

152d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,679
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses133 / 297
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)430 / 433
History coverage152d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 430 Trades
no open positions (275 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Belgium vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first? Jun 15 $40 −$21 -51%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $204 −$202 -99%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first? Jun 15 $5 +$135 +2648%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $64 −$23 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $57 −$13 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$9 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$41 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $48 −$12 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $74 +$6 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $55 −$24 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $39 −$17 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$21 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$12 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $55 −$4 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $45 −$24 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$6 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$3 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$40 +158%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -77%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$49 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$28 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$35 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $82 −$17 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$14 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$10 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$12 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$15 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $39 −$22 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$15 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$14 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$16 -59%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$24 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Belgium vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 38h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 64¢ $126 38h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first? SELL Yes 74¢ $140 38h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 62¢ $78 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $36 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2719 history records