Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ea5…b155
crypto · 453 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$75 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$298
Realized−$68
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses162 / 245
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions46
Markets (closed)407 / 453
History coverage76d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 46 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$19
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 21¢ 20¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-3%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 25¢ 27¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+5%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $15 $15 +$1 (+4%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
France leading at halftime? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15? No 84¢ 82¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 60¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+67%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? No 70¢ 93¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? No 86¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 81¢ 92¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 67¢ 76¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? No 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? No 78¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15? No 79¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14? No 88¢ 92¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 14? No 93¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Canada 28¢ 28¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? No 86¢ 86¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $10 +$22 +225%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $15 +$16 +109%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $5 +$8 +165%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $5 +$13 +262%
Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$18 +365%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$22 +442%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 +$20 +197%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$11 +215%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$103
other 13% −$39
sports 8% +$62
weather 7% +$1
world 1% +$1
culture 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? BUY No 74¢ $5 46m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 55m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 23¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 71¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 21¢ $5 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $5 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 20¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 22¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 3h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY No 86¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15? BUY No 79¢ $5 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 84¢ $5 5h
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $5 5h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 78¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 70¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 6h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Canada 28¢ $5 7h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $5 7h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +3.9% -6.0% 57% 49% -5.8%
≤30d 83 +13.9% +3.1% 59% 52% -3.5%
≤90d 407 -2.6% -11.8% 40% 24% -12.4%
all 407 -2.6% -11.8% 40% 24% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 24% -12.4%
10% -20.3% 21% -20.8%
15% -28.0% 18% -28.5%
20% -35.0% 14% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $297.92 · official $297.94 (match) · 1522 history records