Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:47:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6eac…ed37
sports · 210 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$778 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,934 · open −$200
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,934
Unrealized−$200
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses102 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$1,350
Open positions1
Markets (closed)209 / 210
History coverage55d
Avg bet$407
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$286
7 days−$248
14 days−$803
30 days−$3,680
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner 4ikibamboni 35¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 35¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winner ex-HEROIC 22¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 4¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 47¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 49¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Team Nemesis 17¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 38¢ 0¢ $332 $0 −$332 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 39¢ 0¢ $337 $0 −$337 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 33¢ 0¢ $396 $0 −$396 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A 1win 26¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 46¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Vici Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner Nigma Galaxy 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 28¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 49¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner PARIVISION 9¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Aurora 54¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 34¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PARIVISION 24¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $109 +$93 +85%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu Jun 12 $379 −$379 -100%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $591 −$590 -100%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $285 −$284 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $570 +$430 +75%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $468 +$481 +103%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $306 −$300 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $214 −$211 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $160 −$160 -100%
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $80 +$80 +99%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $36 +$39 +109%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner May 30 $740 −$740 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner May 30 $699 +$58 +8%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $420 −$420 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner May 30 $350 −$350 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $105 −$103 -98%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $621 −$621 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $510 −$500 -98%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $680 +$588 +86%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $410 −$410 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $510 −$500 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $570 −$570 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $507 +$473 +93%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $307 +$974 +317%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $510 −$510 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $550 −$550 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $440 +$360 +82%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $396 −$396 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $102 −$100 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $203 +$189 +93%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $203 +$262 +129%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $589 +$427 +72%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $330 −$330 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,644 −$844 -51%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $190 +$349 +184%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $508 +$492 +97%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $153 −$150 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $834 +$734 +88%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $554 −$337 -61%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1,013 +$779 +77%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $395 +$384 +97%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $406 +$409 +101%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $446 +$350 +78%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $338 −$332 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $331 +$460 +139%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $153 −$150 -98%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 26 $252 +$198 +79%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner May 24 $750 −$750 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner May 24 $204 +$523 +256%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner BUY 4ikibamboni 35¢ $204 1h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu BUY MODUS 30¢ $150 47h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu BUY MODUS 30¢ $148 47h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu BUY MODUS 30¢ $2 47h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu BUY MODUS 30¢ $43 47h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu BUY MODUS 30¢ $36 47h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 21¢ $46 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 21¢ $17 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 21¢ $17 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 51¢ $261 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 51¢ $36 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 51¢ $208 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 51¢ $5 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Inner Circle 54¢ $109 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 22¢ $15 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 22¢ $1 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 22¢ $29 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 24¢ $68 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 24¢ $4 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 24¢ $0 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 25¢ $34 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 25¢ $16 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 35¢ $54 2d
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle 35¢ $64 2d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op BUY L1ga Team 57¢ $570 4d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner SELL L1ga Team 100¢ $949 4d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner BUY L1ga Team 45¢ $51 4d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner BUY L1ga Team 45¢ $16 4d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner BUY L1ga Team 50¢ $396 4d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner BUY L1ga Team 50¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -6.1% -15.0% 50% 50% -18.9%
≤30d 115 -1.7% -11.0% 48% 47% -16.1%
≤90d 209 +7.4% -2.8% 49% 48% -11.6%
all 209 +7.4% -2.8% 49% 48% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.8% 48% -11.6%
10% -12.1% 48% -20.1%
15% -20.6% 48% -27.8%
20% -28.4% 47% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.29 · official $0.29 (match) · 656 history records