Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6eb3…70de
crypto · 320 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,264 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,264 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,264
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses185 / 135
Open positions0
Markets (closed)320 / 320
History coverage89d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$683
7 days−$1,277
14 days−$1,269
30 days−$1,269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $89 +$17 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$33 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$27 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $106 +$27 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$97 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$61 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$49 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$19 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$27 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$23 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$13 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$14 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$13 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,268
sports 0% +$11
world 0% −$3
other 0% +$1
culture 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $28 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+32.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 285 +47.7% +33.7% 58% 43% -21.2%
≤30d 301 +49.0% +34.8% 58% 43% -20.9%
≤90d 320 +46.4% +32.4% 58% 42% -20.7%
all 320 +46.4% +32.4% 58% 42% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +32.4% 42% -20.7%
10% +19.8% 28% -28.3%
15% +8.2% 20% -35.3%
20% -2.4% 17% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1291 history records