Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:15:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ebe…17b9
crypto · 157 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$155 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$392
Realized−$176
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses87 / 56
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions13
Markets (closed)143 / 157
History coverage18d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day47.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 13 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$287
7 days−$213
14 days−$122
30 days−$176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $84 $84 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 77¢ 81¢ $77 $81 +$4 (+6%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 81¢ $75 $74 −$1 (-1%)
Endrick: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 42¢ $18 $42 +$24 (+131%)
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals No 85¢ 90¢ $26 $27 +$2 (+6%)
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No 64¢ 54¢ $26 $21 −$4 (-17%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 90¢ 92¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+2%)
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 87¢ 90¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 86¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-29%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Under 81¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $45 +$5 +11%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $84 +$15 +18%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Jun 13 $28 +$71 +254%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $63 +$4 +7%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $140 +$10 +7%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $46 −$6 -12%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $325 −$305 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -97%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $16 +$7 +41%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $247 +$11 +4%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $150 +$14 +10%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $50 +$10 +20%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $70 −$69 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $173 +$19 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $137 +$66 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 12 $23 +$7 +32%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $28 +$3 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $28 +$11 +40%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $63 +$6 +9%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $630 +$73 +12%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $41 −$40 -99%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 08 $30 −$3 -10%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $129 +$34 +27%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $76 +$4 +5%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $16 +$4 +22%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $54 +$6 +10%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $115 +$23 +20%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $62 −$1 -2%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $24 −$24 -99%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $28 −$1 -3%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $16 +$3 +21%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $44 +$13 +30%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the BLAST Slam VII Grand Final be a reverse sweep? Jun 07 $10 $0 -2%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 07 $10 $0 +3%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $12 +$3 +24%
Trump approval Up or Down this week? Jun 06 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 02 $16 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 02 $16 −$8 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -96%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 02 $15 +$8 +53%
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Jun 02 $32 +$8 +24%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup May 31 $1 $0 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% +$23
sports 23% −$194
other 19% −$64
politics 10% +$81
tech 0% −$4
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $50 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $50 17m
Morocco leading at halftime? SELL No 99¢ $99 18m
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals SELL Yes 99¢ $99 19m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $45 50m
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $27 1h
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY No 84¢ $84 1h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $17 1h
Endrick: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $18 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $8 1h
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals BUY No 85¢ $26 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $20 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $93 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $97 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $47 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 71¢ $7 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 71¢ $14 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners SELL Over 34¢ $10 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 80¢ $8 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 81¢ $16 2h
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? BUY No 56¢ $6 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $38 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 97¢ $0 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $190 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 93¢ $42 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 93¢ $8 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -2.8% -12.0% 66% 41% -15.5%
≤30d 143 +0.7% -8.9% 61% 50% -12.0%
≤90d 143 +0.7% -8.9% 61% 50% -12.0%
all 143 +0.7% -8.9% 61% 50% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 50% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 41% -20.4%
15% -25.5% 30% -28.1%
20% -32.8% 22% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $392.18 · official $394.20 (match) · 905 history records