Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ecb…2464
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
−$4 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$4
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-71%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$2 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 59% −$1
sports 41% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+85.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +104.5% +85.0% 100% 100% +85.0%
≤30d 1 +104.5% +85.0% 100% 100% +85.0%
≤90d 1 +104.5% +85.0% 100% 100% +85.0%
all 1 +104.5% +85.0% 100% 100% +85.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.0% 100% +85.0%
10% +67.3% 100% +67.3%
15% +51.1% 100% +51.1%
20% +36.3% 100% +36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.11 · official $4.11 (match) · 6 history records