trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 67% | 50% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 84% | 74% | -2.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 85% | 77% | -1.1% |
| all | 26 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 85% | 77% | -1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.7% | 77% | -1.1% |
| 10% | -11.1% | 46% | -10.6% |
| 15% | -19.7% | 35% | -19.2% |
| 20% | -27.6% | 8% | -27.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 73¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +55% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Viktoriya Tomo | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Remy Bertola | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? | May 18 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud | May 17 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | May 16 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Niels McDonald | May 16 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev | May 14 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score | May 13 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |