Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:27:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ed4…094c
crypto · 578 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$261 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$246 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$74
Realized−$246
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses434 / 138
Open positions6
Markets (closed)572 / 578
History coverage5d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day202.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 6 History 572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$86
7 days−$246
14 days−$246
30 days−$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 95¢ 86¢ $45 $41 −$4 (-9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 95¢ 86¢ $22 $20 −$2 (-9%)
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $8 $6 −$3 (-33%)
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes 54¢ 52¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 87¢ 39¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 77¢ 18¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$3 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$9 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$3 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$193
other 5% −$69
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $0 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 14m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 17m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 572 -2.4% -11.7% 76% 35% -11.4%
≤30d 572 -2.4% -11.7% 76% 35% -11.4%
≤90d 572 -2.4% -11.7% 76% 35% -11.4%
all 572 -2.4% -11.7% 76% 35% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover202.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 35% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 26% -19.8%
15% -27.9% 20% -27.6%
20% -35.0% 19% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.23 · official $69.70 · 1673 history records