Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:46:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6edb…9e84
crypto · 28 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$53 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses16 / 12
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day45.4
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$90
7 days+$90
14 days+$90
30 days+$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$22 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$9 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$28 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$16 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$22 +106%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$117
sports 5% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $14 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +9.0% -1.4% 57% 57% +6.6%
≤30d 28 +9.0% -1.4% 57% 57% +6.6%
≤90d 28 +9.0% -1.4% 57% 57% +6.6%
all 28 +9.0% -1.4% 57% 57% +6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 57% +6.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 50% -3.6%
15% -19.4% 43% -12.9%
20% -27.3% 32% -21.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records