trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -33.6% | -39.9% | 36% | 36% | -17.1% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -32.2% | -38.7% | 37% | 37% | -28.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -17.4% | -25.3% | 42% | 42% | +35.8% |
| all | 24 | -17.4% | -25.3% | 42% | 42% | +35.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.3% | 42% | +35.8% |
| 10% | -32.4% | 42% | +22.8% |
| 15% | -39.0% | 42% | +10.9% |
| 20% | -45.0% | 42% | +0.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 46¢ | 52¢ | $400 | $450 | +$50 (+12%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 59¢ | 56¢ | $200 | $191 | −$9 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $202 | +$120 | +60% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $303 | −$257 | -85% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $203 | +$148 | +73% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $505 | +$276 | +55% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$131 | +128% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 17 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $203 | +$189 | +93% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $303 | +$166 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 13 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 13 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $506 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $203 | +$222 | +109% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 10 | $40,010 | +$20,666 | +52% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament | Apr 19 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament | Apr 19 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament | Apr 19 | $1,665 | +$2,204 | +132% |
| Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this e | Apr 14 | $711 | +$1,491 | +210% |