Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ee6…07ca
sports · 180 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$899 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$895 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$895
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses116 / 63
Est. fees paid−$220
Open positions1
Markets (closed)179 / 180
History coverage129d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,371
7 days−$822
14 days−$680
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 60¢ 42¢ $15 $10 −$4 (-30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $85 +$18 +21%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $353 −$353 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $298 +$18 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $308 +$45 +15%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $111 −$111 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $146 −$146 -100%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $100 −$13 -12%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 11 $26 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $71 +$75 +105%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $327 −$327 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $332 −$332 -100%
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 11 $242 −$242 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $135 +$115 +85%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $137 −$137 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $136 +$64 +47%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $325 +$116 +36%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? Jun 09 $199 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$3 +61%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $166 +$155 +93%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $203 +$117 +58%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $663 +$111 +17%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $150 +$30 +20%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $146 +$8 +6%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $249 +$47 +19%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $32 +$11 +33%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $164 +$79 +48%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $153 +$8 +6%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $87 +$69 +79%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $56 +$30 +53%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $276 −$276 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $46 +$10 +23%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $98 +$15 +15%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $56 −$56 -100%
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 03 $35 +$16 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $26 +$12 +46%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Sta Jun 01 $60 +$20 +33%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winner May 31 $401 +$43 +11%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup May 31 $50 +$13 +26%
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifi May 31 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Pla May 30 $69 +$31 +45%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner May 30 $165 +$71 +43%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner May 30 $215 +$33 +15%
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 P May 29 $240 −$240 -100%
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act May 29 $488 +$109 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28? May 29 $32 −$32 -100%
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner May 29 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 4 Winner May 28 $82 +$19 +23%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $153 +$41 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$973
weather 10% +$69
other 5% +$53
crypto 1% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $103 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 82¢ $85 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $353 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 80¢ $8 11h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 64¢ $6 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $353 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 87¢ $308 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 63¢ $308 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $4 15h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $7 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $4 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $4 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $268 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 60¢ $111 34h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $88 34h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) SELL Ciryl Gane 49¢ $23 34h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $146 37h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $146 37h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 48¢ $71 38h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 71¢ $327 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Global Esports 65¢ $332 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $18 2d
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -1.9% -11.2% 68% 56% -22.2%
≤30d 97 +3.6% -6.3% 75% 65% -10.6%
≤90d 160 -5.4% -14.4% 66% 58% -13.9%
all 179 -7.3% -16.1% 65% 58% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 58% -14.2%
10% -24.1% 47% -22.4%
15% -31.4% 30% -29.9%
20% -38.2% 16% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.25 · official $10.25 (match) · 737 history records