Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:42:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6ee8…02d4 crypto 372 markets active 6h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1246 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$950 (-12%) realized −$950 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +56% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +20% what you keep after slip
Net edge+20%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate38%245W / 392L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day1246.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$405
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1246 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+40.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 637 +55.5% +40.7% 38% 32% -25.5%
≤30d 637 +55.5% +40.7% 38% 32% -25.5%
≤90d 637 +55.5% +40.7% 38% 32% -25.5%
all 637 +55.5% +40.7% 38% 32% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1246.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.7% 32% -25.5%
10% ← realistic here +27.2% 23% -32.6%
15% +14.9% 14% -39.1%
20% +3.7% 8% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +56% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +111% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses245 / 392
Open positions0
Markets (closed)637 / 372
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day1246.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 637 Trades
no open positions (270 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -2180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$4 -7180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +701%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +9346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +3756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -3054%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$3 -8852%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +2447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +948%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +3173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -2530%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records