Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:56:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6eec…a49e crypto 707 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$290 (-6%) realized −$290 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate53%374W / 333L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day50.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$73
14 days−$125
30 days−$419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$442
other 1% +$27
sports 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 33% -14.8%
≤30d 707 -7.7% -16.5% 53% 45% -16.9%
≤90d 707 -7.7% -16.5% 53% 45% -16.9%
all 707 -7.7% -16.5% 53% 45% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 45% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 42% -24.9%
15% -31.8% 34% -32.1%
20% -38.4% 19% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$290
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses374 / 333
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)707 / 707
History coverage29d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 707 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$2 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$7 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $5 +$5 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$6 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$7 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$3 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$7 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$3 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$2 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $13 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1773 history records