Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:18:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6ef3…df6d crypto 316 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2345 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,140 (+6%) realized +$1,140 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate58%184W / 132L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$63per market
Trades / day2345.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2345 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 -0.1% -9.6% 58% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 316 -0.1% -9.6% 58% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 316 -0.1% -9.6% 58% 0% -9.5%
all 316 -0.1% -9.6% 58% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2345.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.06 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.48 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses184 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)316 / 316
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$63
Trades / day2345.2
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 316 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $81 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $63 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $81 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $78 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $81 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $78 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $63 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $59 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $56 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $44 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $71 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $44 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $78 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $188 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $36 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $36 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records