Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f03…2dde
sports · 128 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$127 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$239 · open +$356
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,547
Realized−$239
Unrealized+$356
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses60 / 61
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions6
Markets (closed)121 / 128
History coverage105d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 6 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days+$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 16¢ $1,000 $1,337 +$338 (+34%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $100 $130 +$30 (+30%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $35 $33 −$2 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 68¢ 100¢ $20 $29 +$9 (+46%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-43%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev 82¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Natus Vincere 67¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $30 −$7 -23%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $75 +$202 +270%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 14 $35 −$35 -99%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 08 $101 −$100 -100%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 27 $75 −$75 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $200 +$50 +25%
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $230 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Apr 17 $20 +$17 +84%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings Apr 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026? Apr 15 $5 −$3 -64%
Will Aurora win IEM Rio 2026? Apr 15 $4 −$2 -62%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $16 +$8 +52%
Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026? Apr 15 $6 +$3 +45%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? Apr 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 15 $25 −$16 -64%
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? Apr 14 $7 +$2 +30%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $10 +$6 +56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $20 +$8 +40%
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30? Apr 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Apr 12 $20 +$11 +54%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Apr 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner Apr 12 $5 +$4 +89%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 12 $5 +$4 +88%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Apr 12 $20 +$9 +43%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) Apr 11 $15 +$9 +62%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Apr 09 $10 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $20 +$15 +76%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Apr 08 $10 +$7 +66%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playo Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group St Apr 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St Apr 07 $30 −$16 -52%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $10 +$11 +114%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G Apr 05 $5 +$6 +114%
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pr Apr 05 $15 +$6 +42%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6? Apr 05 $5 +$2 +46%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 4? Apr 04 $5 −$5 -97%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 04 $10 +$3 +28%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 02 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$426
sports 34% −$260
weather 4% −$10
crypto 2% −$68
world 1% +$11
politics 0% +$18
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 54m
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 31¢ $18 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 15¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 13¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $13 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL TheMongolz 8¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 71¢ $21 11h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 31¢ $10 11h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 77¢ $10 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $20 12h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 20¢ $26 12h
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 100¢ $277 14d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $35 30d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Khamzat Chimaev 82¢ $101 36d
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 37¢ $75 47d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 27¢ $75 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? SELL Yes 98¢ $250 52d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? BUY Yes 78¢ $200 52d
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 70¢ $233 52d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs BUY FURIA 22¢ $10 55d
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 37¢ $10 55d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 37¢ $28 56d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs BUY MOUZ 21¢ $10 57d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs BUY MOUZ 28¢ $10 57d
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? SELL Yes 96¢ $37 57d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings BUY Mumbai Indians 38¢ $5 58d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -31.3% -37.8% 33% 33% -35.9%
≤30d 4 +44.0% +30.3% 50% 50% +124.6%
≤90d 116 -18.3% -26.1% 48% 46% -20.3%
all 121 -15.0% -23.1% 50% 47% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.1% 47% -17.9%
10% -30.5% 43% -25.8%
15% -37.2% 31% -33.0%
20% -43.3% 26% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,546.78 · official $1,548.58 (match) · 369 history records