Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f09…6c6c
crypto · 394 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$68
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses172 / 220
Open positions2
Markets (closed)392 / 394
History coverage1d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day2242.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days−$107
14 days−$107
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 48¢ 36¢ $42 $31 −$11 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 39¢ 64¢ $13 $21 +$8 (+65%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$7 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$16 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$13 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$9 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$7 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$7 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$19 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $67 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$10 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$4 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$6 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$10 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$27 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$3 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$19 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$17 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $129 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$10 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$13 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$23 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$29 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$2 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$11 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$5 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$3 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $15 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $13 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $18 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $19 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $14 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $15 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 392 -14.0% -22.2% 44% 34% -10.1%
≤30d 392 -14.0% -22.2% 44% 34% -10.1%
≤90d 392 -14.0% -22.2% 44% 34% -10.1%
all 392 -14.0% -22.2% 44% 34% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2242.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 34% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 24% -18.7%
15% -36.4% 16% -26.6%
20% -42.6% 10% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.86 · official $81.04 · 3500 history records