Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f15…6915
sports · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$100 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$100
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses96 / 63
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)159 / 160
History coverage15d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day38.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$69
14 days−$92
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 91¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $11 −$1 -13%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $12 −$1 -5%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 −$3 -55%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5 −$3 -65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $6 $0 -0%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $8 −$6 -72%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $7 −$5 -66%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $4 +$3 +70%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $4 +$2 +34%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $4 +$2 +50%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $7 −$2 -21%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $7 −$1 -16%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $6 $0 -2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $14 −$4 -30%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $7 $0 -6%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $8 −$2 -21%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $7 −$1 -11%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $7 −$1 -13%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $7 $0 -7%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $6 $0 -5%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $25 −$9 -35%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $20 −$6 -28%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $13 $0 -3%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $14 −$2 -12%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $21 −$6 -27%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $9 +$1 +6%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $7 +$3 +42%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $9 $0 +5%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $6 −$2 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$99
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 97¢ $6 11m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 99¢ $6 11m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 98¢ $6 11m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 99¢ $6 13m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 70¢ $4 20m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 97¢ $6 21m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 89¢ $5 26m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 99¢ $6 31m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 69¢ $4 35m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 99¢ $6 37m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 98¢ $6 38m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 99¢ $6 38m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 64¢ $4 44m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 99¢ $6 44m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 90¢ $5 50m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 87¢ $5 51m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 86¢ $5 55m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 88¢ $5 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ $6 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 87¢ $5 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 91¢ $5 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $6 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 91¢ $5 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 99¢ $5 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 93¢ $5 3h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 92¢ $6 19h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 74¢ $4 20h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 41¢ $2 20h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 99¢ $6 20h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 89¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -7.3% -16.2% 40% 16% -21.6%
≤30d 159 -2.3% -11.6% 60% 22% -14.1%
≤90d 159 -2.3% -11.6% 60% 22% -14.1%
all 159 -2.3% -11.6% 60% 22% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 22% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 12% -22.3%
15% -27.8% 9% -29.8%
20% -34.8% 3% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.93 · official $5.93 (match) · 642 history records