Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:37:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
6F 0x6f32…78ce crypto 584 markets active 2h ago coverage 106d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 105d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover! loses its big bets
Total PnL −$3,541 (-5%) realized −$3,541 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate56%328W / 256L
Whale WR8%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$127per market
Trades / day29.6pace
Fees−$243est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$7
14 days+$32
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
world 48% −$709
sports 15% −$605
politics 12% −$190
other 12% −$706
crypto 6% +$43
finance 4% −$109
culture 3% −$63
tech 0% −$5
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 284 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.5%
≤90d 467 -2.0% -11.4% 65% 1% -12.4%
all 584 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 1% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 1% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 1% -20.8%
15% -28.5% 0% -28.4%
20% -35.5% 0% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 8% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$12 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.22 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

106d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,541
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses328 / 256
Whale WR (big bets)8%
Est. fees paid−$243
Open positions0
Markets (closed)584 / 584
History coverage106d ⚠
Avg bet$127
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 584 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET Jun 23 $49 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $12 −$12 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 22? Jun 22 $49 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $20 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $29 +$2 +6%
BNB Up or Down on June 21? Jun 21 $50 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 21 $7 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $11 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $11 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $11 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $11 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET Jun 20 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET Jun 20 $23 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $49 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 22? BUY Yes 96¢ $49 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $0 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $4 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 22h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $12 28h
BNB Up or Down on June 21? BUY Up 96¢ $50 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 94¢ $20 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 94¢ $29 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21? BUY No 92¢ $30 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records