Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f39…5030
crypto · 92 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,504 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,362 · open −$142
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,823
Realized−$2,362
Unrealized−$142
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses264 / 290
Open positions7
Markets (closed)554 / 92
History coverage1d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day3426.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,362
7 days−$2,362
14 days−$2,362
30 days−$2,362
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $380 $755 +$375 (+98%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $80 $183 +$103 (+130%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $76 $148 +$73 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 48¢ 79¢ $74 $122 +$48 (+65%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 49¢ 78¢ $71 $114 +$43 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $38 $75 +$38 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $35 $70 +$35 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $25 $50 +$25 (+98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 46¢ 50¢ $34 $38 +$3 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 51¢ 21¢ $46 $19 −$27 (-59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 49¢ 22¢ $37 $16 −$21 (-56%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $7 $15 +$7 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 55¢ 94¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+72%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$5 (+98%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 44¢ 6¢ $67 $8 −$58 (-88%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 47¢ 48¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 44¢ 4¢ $37 $3 −$34 (-92%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 12¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-76%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+104%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $380 +$375 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$103 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$73 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$38 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$35 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +108%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +122%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +122%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$645
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 554 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 45% -27.7%
≤30d 554 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 45% -27.7%
≤90d 554 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 45% -27.7%
all 554 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 45% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3426.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 45% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 44% -34.6%
15% -29.2% 44% -40.9%
20% -36.1% 43% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,823.31 · official $1,700.09 · 3500 history records