Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f46…e2bd
weather · 159 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$1,099 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,099 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,099
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses73 / 86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)159 / 159
History coverage48d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$204
7 days+$563
14 days+$806
30 days+$943
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 6? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 2? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 5? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 25? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 9? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 20? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 22? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 24? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 30? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 12? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 14? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 16? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 5? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 15? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 1? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 8? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 7? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 5? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 12? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 +$24 +78%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? Jun 12 $401 +$29 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $92 +$59 +64%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $340 +$184 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $29 +$44 +150%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $31 −$20 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $31 +$31 +101%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 11? Jun 11 $101 +$30 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 11? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $31 +$24 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $51 +$45 +89%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $32 −$31 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $202 +$43 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 10? Jun 10 $31 +$20 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $31 −$30 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $31 +$46 +149%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $31 −$30 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $31 −$24 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 9? Jun 09 $23 +$14 +58%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $364 +$15 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $31 +$27 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 8? Jun 08 $31 −$30 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $31 +$53 +170%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 7? Jun 07 $62 +$232 +372%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 6? Jun 06 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6? Jun 06 $472 +$62 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6? Jun 06 $31 −$9 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 6? Jun 06 $62 −$61 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 5? Jun 05 $132 +$70 +53%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5? Jun 05 $31 −$12 -38%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $102 −$4 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 5? Jun 05 $31 −$30 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4? Jun 04 $62 +$64 +104%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on June 4? Jun 04 $151 +$74 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 4? Jun 04 $77 +$140 +182%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 4? Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 4? Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 3? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 3? Jun 03 $31 +$31 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 31? May 31 $10 −$9 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31? May 31 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 30? May 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 30? May 30 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$1,099
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $54 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? BUY Yes 11¢ $31 16h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $431 25h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 31¢ $31 25h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 55¢ $31 25h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $401 25h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $151 30h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $525 30h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $200 33h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 33¢ $12 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 32¢ $7 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 35¢ $7 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 34¢ $7 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 35¢ $15 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 38h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 49¢ $34 38h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 38h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 59¢ $9 38h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 48¢ $8 38h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 58¢ $31 38h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 12? BUY Yes 30¢ $31 39h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 61¢ $46 40h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 48¢ $46 40h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $73 2d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 11? BUY Yes 50¢ $31 2d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 6¢ $11 2d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 15¢ $31 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? BUY Yes 42¢ $31 2d
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11? SELL Yes 99¢ $62 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +11.2% +0.7% 57% 50% +13.0%
≤30d 96 +11.1% +0.5% 45% 42% +5.8%
≤90d 159 +38.2% +25.0% 46% 44% +8.0%
all 159 +38.2% +25.0% 46% 44% +8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.0% 44% +8.0%
10% +13.1% 41% -2.4%
15% +2.1% 39% -11.8%
20% -7.9% 37% -20.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 431 history records