trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 31% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 31% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 29 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 34% | 3% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 3% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 3% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 16¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 19 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 03 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Mar 27 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| UL Monroe vs. Louisiana | Mar 04 | $14 | −$2 | -16% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Wyoming vs. Fresno State | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say 'term limit' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Florida State vs. Virginia | Mar 04 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Gonzaga vs. San Francisco | Mar 04 | $11 | +$3 | +25% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%? | Mar 02 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28? | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | +2% |