Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:53:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f5a…c1ec
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$26 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses41 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)63 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day81.0
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 38¢ 26¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +6.2% -3.9% 65% 56% -1.7%
≤30d 63 +6.2% -3.9% 65% 56% -1.7%
≤90d 63 +6.2% -3.9% 65% 56% -1.7%
all 63 +6.2% -3.9% 65% 56% -1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 56% -1.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 46% -11.1%
15% -21.5% 35% -19.7%
20% -29.2% 27% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.55 · official $4.05 · 132 history records