trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 13 | $3,228 | +$28 | +1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $3,215 | +$11 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 02 | $512 | +$5 | +1% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 31 | $2,287 | +$86 | +4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 23 | $1,459 | +$10 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Mar 23 | $420 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | Mar 10 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? | Mar 04 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Mar 04 | $701 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | Feb 28 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 23 | $196 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympic | Feb 21 | $96 | +$1 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.3% |
| all | 12 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 83% | 0% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 0% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.5% |