Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:48:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f70…862a
sports · 1541 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,196 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,191 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$216
Realized−$1,191
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1464 / 58
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions17
Markets (closed)1522 / 1541
Avg bet$49
Trades / day78.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 17 History 1522 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,268
7 days−$1,344
14 days−$1,075
30 days−$1,330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 32¢ 50¢ $61 $96 +$35 (+58%)
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Maria 94¢ 98¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+3%)
Set Handicap: Bielinska (-1.5) vs Mi (+1.5) Mi 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Cristian vs. Boulter: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Set Handicap: Maksimovic (-1.5) vs Cordoba (+1.5) Cordoba 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Set Handicap: Lajovic (-1.5) vs Batalla (+1.5) Batalla 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Teunissen vs. Gokpinar: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 90¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Cordoba vs. Maksimovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 90¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 50¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Rybakina vs. Maria: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 75¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-24%)
Sweeny vs. Harris: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Set Handicap: Vujovic (-1.5) vs Cirez (+1.5) Cirez 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Smith vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Giron 99¢ 96¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ristic vs. Avanesyan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Jorge vs. Falei: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Jorge vs. Falei: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Jorge vs. Falei: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $27 +$3 +10%
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Krejcikova vs. Ruse: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Sebov (-1.5) vs Leonard (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bouzkova vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Krutykh vs Sakamoto Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Jong vs. Cecchinato: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Jong vs. Cecchinato: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ryser vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Ryser vs Knutson Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Horvit (-1.5) vs Ghirardato (+1.5) Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Teunissen vs. Gokpinar: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Morvayova vs. Kubka: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Morvayova vs. Kubka: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Morvayova vs. Kubka: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Morvayova vs. Kubka: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Morvayova vs Kubka Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Huang (-1.5) vs Zhiyenbayeva (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Panova/Schuurs Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Zhiyenbayeva vs Huang Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Chanta (-1.5) vs Sornlaksup (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Shimizu (-1.5) vs Aikawa (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Nishimura (-1.5) vs Mushika (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$10 -49%
Honda vs. Ichikawa: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Delaney (-1.5) vs Magadan (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Will the game go to extra innings?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the game go to extra innings?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Ori Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Shelton vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Taverna vs. Ambrogi: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$1,028
other 5% −$168
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 3m
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 9m
Shevchenko vs. Mrva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 10m
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 15m
Rybakina vs. Maria: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 15m
Cristian vs. Boulter: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 35m
Ristic vs. Avanesyan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 40m
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Maria 99¢ $4 42m
Cordoba vs. Maksimovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 43m
Set Handicap: Vujovic (-1.5) vs Cirez (+1.5) BUY Cirez 99¢ $10 43m
Jorge vs. Falei: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $29 45m
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Maria 92¢ $9 47m
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria BUY Maria 91¢ $27 47m
Jorge vs. Falei: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 55m
Krejcikova vs. Ruse: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 56m
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 1h
Jorge vs. Falei: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 1h
Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 1h
Set 2 Winner: Krutykh vs Sakamoto BUY Krutykh 99¢ $30 1h
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5) BUY Cecchinato 98¢ $10 1h
Set Handicap: Maksimovic (-1.5) vs Cordoba (+1.5) BUY Cordoba 99¢ $10 1h
Jong vs. Cecchinato: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 1h
Ryser vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $30 1h
Set 2 Winner: Ryser vs Knutson BUY Knutson 99¢ $30 1h
Jong vs. Cecchinato: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 1h
Ryser vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 1h
Set Handicap: Sebov (-1.5) vs Leonard (+1.5) BUY Leonard 99¢ $10 1h
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $0 1h
Blanch vs. Sanchis: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 481 -3.6% -12.8% 95% 1% -18.0%
≤30d 1300 -2.3% -11.6% 96% 1% -11.4%
≤90d 1522 -2.0% -11.3% 96% 1% -11.0%
all 1522 -2.0% -11.3% 96% 1% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 1% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 1% -19.5%
15% -27.5% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $216.48 · official $216.48 (match) · 3500 history records