Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T17:12:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
6F 0x6f90…bb0a crypto 307 markets active 2h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$7,769 (+35%) realized +$7,769 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate38%118W / 191L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$72per market
Trades / day89.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 35d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +18.0% +6.7% 37% 37% +2.5%
≤30d 242 +39.5% +26.2% 38% 38% -6.3%
≤90d 309 +30.6% +18.2% 38% 38% -9.3%
all 309 +30.6% +18.2% 38% 38% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.2% 38% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here +6.9% 38% -18.0%
15% -3.5% 38% -25.9%
20% -12.9% 38% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +31% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +29% → late +32% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
10.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$123 vs −$76 · ×1.63 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$7,769
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses118 / 191
Open positions0
Markets (closed)309 / 307
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$72
Trades / day89.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 309 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$69 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$78 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$244 +488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$72 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$154 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$40 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$155 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$89 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $77 +$275 +358%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$346 +346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$189 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$141 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$66 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $12 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $19 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $27 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $23 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $27 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $43 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $48 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.73 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records