Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T11:49:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6f9c…305d sports 204 markets active 7h ago coverage 135d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$830 (-7%) realized −$830 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate40%74W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day2.2pace
Fees−$46est.
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days−$17
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 56% +$512
sports 22% −$824
crypto 22% −$619
world 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +36.8% +23.8% 67% 67% +24.6%
≤30d 69 +9.1% -1.3% 42% 42% -10.4%
≤90d 122 -7.0% -15.9% 39% 39% -6.2%
all 186 -15.8% -23.8% 40% 37% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.8% 37% -16.7%
10% -31.1% 35% -24.6%
15% -37.7% 31% -31.9%
20% -43.8% 28% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -28% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$54 vs −$44 · ×1.23 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

135d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$830
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses74 / 112
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)186 / 204
History coverage135d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 186 Trades
no open positions (100 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 28 $5 +$5 +97%
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score Jun 28 $5 +$6 +114%
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $16 +$15 +96%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? Jun 16 $2 +$1 +33%
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $4 +$7 +180%
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $7 +$7 +105%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $22 −$22 -98%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $30 +$33 +109%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $15 +$30 +195%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$20 +131%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $15 +$15 +97%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $17 −$1 -6%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $19 −$19 -98%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $21 −$2 -8%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $43 −$42 -98%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $22 +$21 +93%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $49 −$48 -99%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $71 −$70 -99%
Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $61 +$44 +73%
Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $22 +$22 +99%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $69 −$68 -99%
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $71 +$78 +109%
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? Jun 05 $10 +$23 +223%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $7 +$18 +253%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $11 +$19 +171%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $13 +$14 +107%
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? Jun 05 $8 −$8 -97%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $11 +$12 +105%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $32 +$32 +97%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $10 +$14 +134%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $12 +$17 +140%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $10 +$18 +180%
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $10 +$22 +216%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $10 +$13 +124%
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Japan to score first vs. Brazil? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? AND BUY 8¢ $6 7h
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND Will South Africa win BUY 8¢ $5 7h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 8h
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? SELL Yes 61¢ $10 8h
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 8h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $11 8h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $5 10h
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND England leading at halftim BUY 45¢ $5 19h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score AND Algeria vs. Austria: Bo BUY 26¢ $10 19h
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 2+ goals AND Will Norway w BUY 13¢ $0 43h
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia? AND Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 BUY 4¢ $0 2d
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Kylian Mbappé BUY 9¢ $5 2d
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Curaçao BUY 3¢ $5 2d
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06 BUY 24¢ $10 2d
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25 BUY 30¢ $10 2d
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score AND Will United State BUY 31¢ $14 8d
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score AND Will Mexico vs. Kor BUY 23¢ $5 9d
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score AND Will Korea Republic BUY 13¢ $5 9d
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score AND Czechia vs. South Africa: Bo BUY 2¢ $4 9d
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score AND Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 BUY 42¢ $16 10d
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $32 10d
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $16 10d
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 AND Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score BUY 28¢ $15 11d
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 11d
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 11d
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 11d
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 11d
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? SELL Yes 14¢ $3 11d
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $11 11d
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 35¢ $4 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $10.40 · 331 history records