Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fa7…8ea1
other · 52 markets active 8d ago
0.0score
+$16,826 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,826 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$16,826
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses15 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
Avg bet$5,556
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$41,330
30 days+$41,330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $987 $0 −$987 (-100%)
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $3,940 $0 −$3,940 (-100%)
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election? No 21¢ 0¢ $26,431 $0 −$26,431 (-100%)
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $7,220 $0 −$7,220 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $11,073 +$29,197 +264%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $17,539 +$12,134 +69%
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? Dec 30 $8,071 +$773 +10%
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? Dec 30 $182 −$182 -100%
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Dec 30 $455 −$429 -94%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Dec 30 $4,601 +$238 +5%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? Dec 30 $11,092 −$3,284 -30%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025? Dec 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? Dec 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? Dec 17 $2,287 −$834 -36%
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? Nov 06 $380 +$26 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November Nov 06 $383 $0 +0%
Ethereum all time high by October 31? Nov 03 $3,804 +$8 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3? Nov 03 $4,286 −$3,473 -81%
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%? Jun 04 $22,018 −$22,018 -100%
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 04 $1,063 −$1,063 -100%
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 04 $9,226 −$6,064 -66%
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 04 $21,055 −$1,444 -7%
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? Jun 04 $129,465 +$45,866 +35%
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea ele Jun 03 $930 +$68 +7%
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%? Jun 03 $1,029 −$1,021 -99%
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Kore Jun 03 $28,594 −$26,431 -92%
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea Jun 03 $7,221 −$7,220 -100%
Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope? May 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? May 09 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? May 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? May 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? May 09 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? May 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? May 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? May 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope? May 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? May 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope? May 09 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope? May 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Mario Grech be the next pope? May 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Will another person be the next Pope? May 09 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope? May 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? May 09 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? May 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope? May 09 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope? May 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Kurt Koch be the next pope? May 09 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope? May 09 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? May 09 $310 +$690 +223%
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? May 09 $27 +$4,112 +15425%
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? May 08 $62 +$1 +2%
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? May 08 $142 +$47 +33%
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13? Jan 03 $2,080 −$2,080 -100%
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? Nov 06 $0 +$4 +833%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 79% +$44,524
other 18% −$22,492
crypto 4% −$5,199
economics 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 100¢ $34,141 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 100¢ $17,175 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $1,370 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $529 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $36 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $72 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $36 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $36 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $36 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $36 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $2,382 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $437 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $170 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 44¢ $435 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 39¢ $1,950 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 60¢ $245 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 85¢ $15 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 85¢ $4,592 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 63¢ $31 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 63¢ $189 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 63¢ $63 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 63¢ $31 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 63¢ $979 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 65¢ $27 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 65¢ $30 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 63¢ $1,918 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 63¢ $6,936 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 61¢ $49 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 61¢ $60 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 61¢ $81 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +166.4% +141.1% 100% 100% +121.2%
≤90d 2 +166.4% +141.1% 100% 100% +121.2%
all 52 +6.6% -3.5% 29% 15% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 15% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.7% 15% -14.4%
15% -21.2% 13% -22.7%
20% -28.9% 12% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 589 history records