Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:51:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6fab…8000 crypto 302 markets active 1d ago coverage 133d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$19 (+0%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%299W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day2.4pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$5
14 days+$16
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$46
other 4% +$10
world 3% +$5
politics 0% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 112 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 257 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 302 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$15 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.34 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

133d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses299 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)302 / 302
History coverage133d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 302 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $70 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 11AM ET? Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 5AM ET? Jun 16 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 4AM ET? Jun 16 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 16, 2AM ET? Jun 16 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 12AM ET? Jun 16 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 15, 9PM ET? Jun 16 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 15, 4AM ET? Jun 15 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 15, 1AM ET? Jun 15 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 14, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 14, 11AM ET? Jun 14 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 14, 5AM ET? Jun 14 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 14, 4AM ET? Jun 14 $98 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 13, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 13, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $93 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 13, 1PM ET? Jun 13 $98 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 13, 12PM ET? Jun 13 $93 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 12PM ET? Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 13, 11AM ET? Jun 13 $98 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 13, 10AM ET? Jun 13 $98 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 13, 9AM ET? Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 8AM ET? Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 13, 7AM ET? Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 13, 3AM ET? Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 13, 1AM ET? Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 12, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $97 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $87 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 12, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $97 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 12, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $86 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $76 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 11, 11AM ET? Jun 11 $86 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 11, 11AM ET? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $96 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 11, 8AM ET? Jun 11 $96 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 11, 7AM ET? Jun 11 $96 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 2AM ET? Jun 11 $96 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 11, 12AM ET? Jun 11 $96 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 10, 11PM ET? Jun 11 $95 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 10, 12PM ET? Jun 10 $39 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 12PM ET? Jun 10 $55 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 11AM ET? Jun 10 $26 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $90 33h
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 99¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 16, 12PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $70 35h
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 12PM ET? BUY No 99¢ $30 35h
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $100 36h
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 42h
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 43h
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 16, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 44h
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 12AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 47h
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 15, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 15, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 15, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 14, 12PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 14, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 9AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 14, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $98 3d
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 13, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $93 4d
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 13, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 13, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $98 4d
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 13, 12PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $93 4d
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 12PM ET? BUY No 92¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 13, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $98 4d
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 13, 10AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $98 4d
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 13, 9AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $97 4d
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 8AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $97 4d
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 13, 7AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $97 4d
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 13, 3AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $97 4d
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 13, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $97 4d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 619 history records