trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 31% | 31% | +5.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +19.1% | +7.8% | 42% | 42% | +9.2% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +12.9% | +2.1% | 42% | 42% | +6.5% |
| all | 24 | +12.9% | +2.1% | 42% | 42% | +6.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.1% | 42% | +6.5% |
| 10% | -7.7% | 29% | -3.7% |
| 15% | -16.6% | 29% | -13.0% |
| 20% | -24.8% | 12% | -21.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$40 | +40% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$101 | +982% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$27 | +262% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 28 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 28 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 28 | $100 | +$41 | +41% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 08 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 02 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Mar 26 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 26 | $111 | −$19 | -17% |