Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fb1…9cbd
sports · 996 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$5 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$15
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses688 / 305
Est. fees paid−$129
Open positions3
Markets (closed)993 / 996
History coverage102d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day23.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 993 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$32
14 days+$20
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 97¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 89¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 70¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Cervia: Juan Martin vs Michele Ribecai Michele Ribecai 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Henri Squire Henri Squire 31¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Roman Safiullin 80¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 60¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Over 87¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 37¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 89¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma Yexin Ma 70¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkate Tristan Schoolkate 35¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekh Alvaro Guillen Meza 58¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon Alex Michelsen 64¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
ITF Fukui: Hiromi Abe vs Rinko Matsuda Rinko Matsuda 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Tomas Etcheverry 44¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Tomas Barrios 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda Marco Trungelliti 65¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Laura Pigossi Linda Fruhvirtova 42¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Visker Michael Geerts 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmoh Niels Visker 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mauthausen: Laslo Djere vs Jan Choinski Jan Choinski 13¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $4 +$2 +43%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $4 +$1 +21%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $10 −$1 -9%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $11 +$4 +33%
ITF Kayseri: Rafael De Alba vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +24%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $4 +$1 +24%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $19 +$1 +5%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $4 +$1 +30%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $7 −$1 -18%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $9 +$1 +14%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Jun 09 $4 +$1 +20%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $4 $0 +11%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $4 −$2 -59%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 09 $5 $0 +11%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $3 +$2 +60%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $3 +$2 +62%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $4 +$1 +24%
Bratislava: Norbert Gombos vs Jan Choinski Jun 08 $5 $0 +11%
Lyon: Luka Pavlovic vs Daniel Galan Jun 08 $9 +$1 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $3 +$2 +62%
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Jun 08 $4 +$1 +34%
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $3 +$2 +70%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 20.5 Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $4 +$6 +178%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $2 +$1 +73%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2 −$1 -40%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $4 +$1 +26%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $15 −$8 -54%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito Jun 07 $9 $0 +2%
ITF Bistrita: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Horia Haita Jun 07 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$142
other 2% −$97
world 1% −$19
weather 0% −$17
tech 0% −$11
politics 0% +$11
culture 0% −$12
finance 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 87¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 97¢ $10 2h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 86¢ $4 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 51¢ $4 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 50¢ $4 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 93¢ $5 13h
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 92¢ $5 21h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 70¢ $4 21h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 89¢ $4 21h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 85¢ $8 22h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios SELL Sho Shimabukuro 50¢ $5 22h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 52¢ $5 22h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 43¢ $4 22h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli BUY Jesper de Jong 70¢ $4 23h
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 83¢ $4 25h
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova BUY Magda Linette 82¢ $4 26h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Robin Montgomery 86¢ $4 26h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen SELL Greet Minnen 40¢ $4 26h
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens BUY Gabriela Ruse 84¢ $8 26h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Greet Minnen 55¢ $6 26h
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens BUY Gabriela Ruse 56¢ $3 26h
ITF Kayseri: Rafael De Alba vs Maxwell Mckennon BUY Maxwell Mckennon 95¢ $10 28h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 100¢ $20 36h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 80¢ $4 37h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 100¢ $10 45h
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 80¢ $4 46h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone SELL Francesco Forti 100¢ $5 46h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone BUY Francesco Forti 77¢ $4 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 97¢ $10 47h
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Marton Fucsovics 95¢ $19 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +10.7% +0.2% 80% 54% -1.3%
≤30d 245 -3.9% -13.1% 73% 44% -10.6%
≤90d 989 -0.5% -10.0% 69% 46% -9.4%
all 993 -0.6% -10.1% 69% 46% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 46% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 30% -18.1%
15% -26.5% 19% -26.1%
20% -33.7% 14% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.02 · official $15.02 (match) · 3053 history records