Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fb9…e0d3
other · 240 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$65 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses14 / 225
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)239 / 240
History coverage124d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$15
14 days−$23
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $514 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $173 $0 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $55 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $275 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $244 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $544 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $598 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $286 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $115 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $115 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $127 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $295 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $412 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $340 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $174 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $369 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $438 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $372 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $472 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $134 $0 -0%
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $280 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $462 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $187 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $624 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $644 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $509 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $128 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $544 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $623 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $249 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $60 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 05 $281 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 04 $431 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $261 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $424 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 02 $602 −$2 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $210 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $333 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $385 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $310 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $62 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $122 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $181 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $139 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $244 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $503 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $148 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $287 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $524 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$36
sports 22% −$20
politics 9% −$6
culture 7% −$7
crypto 7% −$6
economics 5% −$3
world 4% +$2
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $54 1h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 2h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 4h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $55 5h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $55 7h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $55 11h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $55 13h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 14h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 16h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 17h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 19h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 27h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 28h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $55 30h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $55 31h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $55 32h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $55 34h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 36h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 38h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $55 38h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $56 39h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $56 42h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $56 43h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $56 45h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $56 47h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $56 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $56 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $56 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $56 2d
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $44 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 70 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 195 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 239 -0.1% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.39 · official $54.39 (match) · 1251 history records