Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:42:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fbf…d227
sports · 117 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open −$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$208
Realized−$30
Unrealized−$36
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses65 / 48
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions4
Markets (closed)113 / 117
History coverage94d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 4 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 54¢ 100¢ $59 $109 +$50 (+84%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $59 $67 +$7 (+13%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 88¢ 100¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+14%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 61¢ 62¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$3 +67%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $7 +$6 +86%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $5 +$14 +277%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 14 $5 +$15 +291%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 14 $15 −$7 -48%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 14 $15 +$2 +14%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $35 +$22 +62%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5) Jun 14 $5 +$4 +90%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $15 +$17 +113%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 14 $5 +$6 +124%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$4 -38%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $35 −$22 -63%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 14 $25 −$6 -26%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $25 +$8 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$13 +262%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$1
other 15% −$76
crypto 9% +$8
world 5% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 BUY Over 29¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 87¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 58¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 86¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 62¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 62¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 51¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 50¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 49¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 +2.6% -7.2% 56% 47% -12.1%
≤30d 108 +2.6% -7.2% 56% 47% -12.1%
≤90d 108 +2.6% -7.2% 56% 47% -12.1%
all 113 +2.6% -7.2% 58% 45% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 45% -11.9%
10% -16.1% 35% -20.3%
15% -24.2% 28% -28.0%
20% -31.6% 21% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208.18 · official $208.18 (match) · 387 history records