Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fc4…c89d
sports · 485 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,106 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,109 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$706
Realized+$4,109
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses484 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions2
Markets (closed)484 / 485
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2,120
Trades / day410.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,379
7 days+$2,566
14 days+$4,109
30 days+$4,109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $694 $692 −$2 (-0%)
HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $8,212 +$8 +0%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $246 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 14 $471 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $392 +$4 +1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $61,655 +$62 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,563 +$15 +1%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) Jun 14 $73 $0 +0%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $6,942 +$7 +0%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 14 $39 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2,893 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $3,135 +$3 +0%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $18,968 +$19 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1,583 +$16 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $113 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1,511 +$15 +1%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $140 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,486 +$15 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,737 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $2,048 +$2 +0%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $64,394 +$64 +0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $99 $0 +0%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $383 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $1,800 +$2 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,620 +$5 +0%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $2,144 +$2 +0%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $2,855 +$3 +0%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $2,228 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $360 $0 +0%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $8,750 +$9 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $4,515 +$5 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,691 +$5 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $36 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $395 +$4 +1%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $1,823 +$2 +0%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,300 +$2 +0%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $664 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,500 +$5 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4,785 +$5 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,609 +$5 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$639
other 19% +$196
crypto 19% +$3,272
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 7m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $1,038 28m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $2 28m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $3,764 28m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $0 32m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $15 33m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $194 34m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $5 34m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $2 35m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $2,504 35m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $360 35m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $42 35m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $93 36m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $12 36m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $170 36m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $10 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $392 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,563 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Marsborne 100¢ $471 2h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 100¢ $2 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Under 100¢ $9 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 100¢ $379 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 100¢ $2 2h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 100¢ $49 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 100¢ $303 2h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 100¢ $23 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 100¢ $36 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Under 100¢ $2 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 100¢ $2,259 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 100¢ $126 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 464 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 484 +2.0% -7.8% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 484 +2.0% -7.8% 100% 0% -9.2%
all 484 +2.0% -7.8% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover410.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 0% -9.2%
10% -16.6% 0% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -24.6% 0% -25.8%
20% -32.0% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $706.42 · official $706.42 (match) · 3500 history records