Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fcb…a72e
crypto · 70 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$144 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$144 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses35 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage26d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$663
7 days−$663
14 days−$663
30 days+$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $359 $0 −$359 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $398 $0 −$398 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $618 +$507 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $372 −$359 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $412 −$398 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $157 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $412 +$363 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $399 +$333 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $228 −$220 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $238 −$230 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $182 −$176 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$224 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $182 −$176 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$30 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$132 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$78 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$132 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $137 +$135 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$88 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 23 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 23 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 22 $94 −$89 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 22 $45 +$49 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 22 $24 +$22 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 22 $14 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 22 $7 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 22 $62 +$47 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 22 $166 +$67 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 22 $119 +$106 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 22 $124 −$120 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 22 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 22 $160 +$146 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 22 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 22 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 22 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 22 $103 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 22 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 22 $145 +$115 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 22 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 22 $176 +$143 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 22 $104 +$109 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 22 $21 +$43 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 22 $124 +$116 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 22 $52 −$50 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$144
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $206 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $388 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $23 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $372 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $412 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $157 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $326 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $247 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $46 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -42.6% -48.1% 30% 30% -23.7%
≤30d 70 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 50% -7.7%
≤90d 70 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 50% -7.7%
all 70 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 50% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 50% -7.7%
10% -18.3% 47% -16.5%
15% -26.2% 47% -24.6%
20% -33.4% 43% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 246 history records