Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fcd…0f6d
other · 62 markets active 3h ago
6.5score
+$144 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$144 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Chart Positions 0 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $74 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $38 $0 -0%
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 06 $47 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $29 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 05 $62 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? Jun 05 $89 $0 +0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $263 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? May 27 $41 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $32 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 22 $30 $0 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 21 $26 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $34 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 19 $33 $0 -0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 18 $214 $0 -0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 12 $456 −$1 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $229 $0 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 08 $469 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 07 $222 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 30 $223 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 26 $236 $0 -0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Apr 25 $228 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 25 $218 $0 -0%
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 25 $227 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 25 $221 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 24 $239 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $230 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $239 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $239 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $235 $0 -0%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 15 $243 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $220 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $235 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $234 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $224 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $13 +$10 +79%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $10 +$16 +165%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $19 +$11 +60%
Avalanche vs. Blues Apr 08 $16 +$11 +70%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $11 +$8 +75%
Hawks vs. Magic Apr 06 $11 +$7 +60%
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch? Apr 06 $21 $0 +0%
Trump out as President by March 31? Apr 06 $42 +$1 +2%
Blues vs. Sharks Apr 06 $27 +$26 +96%
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Mar 30 $30 +$48 +162%
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26? Mar 27 $29 +$21 +72%
Nuggets vs. Suns Mar 26 $22 +$12 +52%
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5 Mar 24 $18 +$18 +99%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$13
politics 17% −$15
other 16% +$38
sports 3% +$135
economics 1% $0
tech 1% $0
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $74 2h
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $40 4h
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $34 8h
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $38 5d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $38 5d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $47 6d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 6d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $29 7d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $29 7d
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $27 15d
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $27 15d
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $41 15d
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $41 16d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $62 16d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $32 16d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $32 16d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $30 20d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 20d
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $89 20d
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $26 21d
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $26 21d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $34 23d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $34 23d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $33 23d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $33 23d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $214 24d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $214 24d
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Colorado Rockies 39¢ $5 29d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $228 31d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $228 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 -6.8% -15.6% 13% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 49 +16.1% +5.0% 31% 22% -7.1%
all 62 +12.6% +1.8% 29% 18% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.8% 18% -8.9%
10% -7.9% 18% -17.7%
15% -16.8% 18% -25.6%
20% -25.0% 18% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 325 history records