Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fd0…a85b
crypto · 244 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,977 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,775 · open −$1,666
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20,964
Realized+$2,775
Unrealized−$1,666
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses105 / 283
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions158
Markets (closed)388 / 244
History coverage6d
Avg bet$267
Trades / day522.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 158 History 388 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,786
7 days+$2,775
14 days+$2,775
30 days+$2,775
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 87¢ 95¢ $1,952 $2,123 +$171 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $1,512 $1,724 +$212 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 95¢ 99¢ $1,117 $1,171 +$55 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? No 96¢ 98¢ $1,048 $1,067 +$19 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 72¢ 100¢ $759 $1,057 +$298 (+39%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 52¢ 90¢ $606 $1,046 +$440 (+73%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 25¢ 59¢ $358 $831 +$473 (+132%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 94¢ 99¢ $763 $809 +$46 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 78¢ 88¢ $673 $764 +$91 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 75¢ 98¢ $516 $674 +$158 (+31%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 43¢ 46¢ $563 $605 +$42 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 76¢ 78¢ $551 $563 +$12 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 86¢ 98¢ $471 $541 +$70 (+15%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? No 97¢ 100¢ $463 $478 +$14 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? No 77¢ 90¢ $381 $446 +$65 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 24¢ 80¢ $128 $430 +$302 (+236%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $378 $399 +$21 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Yes 27¢ 50¢ $202 $373 +$171 (+84%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 57¢ 94¢ $205 $341 +$136 (+66%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 92¢ 98¢ $309 $327 +$18 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? No 95¢ 100¢ $277 $291 +$14 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 91¢ 100¢ $255 $279 +$24 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 86¢ 98¢ $230 $261 +$31 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? No 89¢ 100¢ $222 $247 +$25 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? No 80¢ 84¢ $224 $234 +$10 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $146 −$298 -203%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23? Jun 12 $63 −$73 -116%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $43 +$8 +19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -79%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $29 −$17 -58%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -44%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $25 +$43 +173%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26? Jun 12 $5 −$12 -253%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $9 +$18 +201%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26? Jun 12 $148 −$124 -83%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 12 $182 −$182 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $6 +$17 +272%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27? Jun 12 $8 +$24 +290%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7? Jun 12 $223 −$225 -101%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $46 −$48 -104%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 12 $83 −$106 -127%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25? Jun 12 $34 −$27 -79%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? Jun 12 $19 +$383 +1982%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15,369
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $116 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 10¢ $1 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 10¢ $1 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $118 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 96¢ $115 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 4¢ $5 52m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 4¢ $5 53m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 4¢ $5 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 4¢ $5 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 55m
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY No 94¢ $113 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 57m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 4¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 4¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? BUY No 19¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 15¢ $9 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY No 61¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 27¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 93¢ $17 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 27¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 6¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 6¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 11¢ $13 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+86.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 388 +106.0% +86.3% 27% 24% -11.6%
≤30d 388 +106.0% +86.3% 27% 24% -11.6%
≤90d 388 +106.0% +86.3% 27% 24% -11.6%
all 388 +106.0% +86.3% 27% 24% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover522.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +86.3% 24% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here +68.5% 22% -20.1%
15% +52.2% 21% -27.8%
20% +37.3% 19% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20,964.08 · official $20,963.18 (match) · 3500 history records