Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fd9…2451
sports · 1101 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$428 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$437 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$437
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses453 / 644
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1097 / 1101
History coverage150d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 4 History 1097 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$36
14 days−$219
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 100¢ $3 $12 +$9 (+284%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 −$3 -78%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$7 +146%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $1 −$1 -84%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $3 −$1 -45%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$78 +1521%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -24%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $3 +$3 +101%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $15 −$9 -60%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$7 +129%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 +$2 +42%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 −$5 -52%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $5 +$7 +137%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$12 +229%
DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $5 +$5 +105%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$141
other 21% −$220
crypto 8% −$54
politics 0% −$5
world 0% −$6
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 0m
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 2m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $4 4m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $3 8h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 8h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 27¢ $3 10h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 8¢ $1 10h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 60¢ $5 11h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 60¢ $5 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $5 23h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 0¢ $0 23h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 8¢ $0 24h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 49¢ $1 26h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $5 27h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 69¢ $9 30h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $9 31h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 70¢ $7 31h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 65¢ $4 33h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 100¢ $4 33h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 64¢ $3 46h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +18.7% +7.4% 47% 43% -19.6%
≤30d 354 +8.9% -1.4% 40% 36% -15.7%
≤90d 822 -2.7% -12.0% 40% 37% -15.1%
all 1097 -4.1% -13.2% 41% 38% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 38% -15.5%
10% -21.5% 36% -23.6%
15% -29.1% 32% -31.0%
20% -36.0% 27% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.41 · official $20.41 (match) · 2843 history records