Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fdc…953f
crypto · 652 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,285 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,341 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,337
Realized+$1,341
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses225 / 422
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions10
Markets (closed)647 / 652
History coverage1d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2062.6
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 647 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,341
7 days+$1,341
14 days+$1,341
30 days+$1,341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 71¢ 78¢ $321 $352 +$31 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 95¢ 98¢ $285 $296 +$10 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 71¢ 76¢ $247 $263 +$16 (+7%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $120 $120 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 22¢ 42¢ $44 $84 +$40 (+90%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 30¢ 24¢ $103 $83 −$20 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 29¢ 22¢ $101 $77 −$24 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $24 $50 +$26 (+113%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $25 $2 −$23 (-93%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$23 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$190 +517%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$41 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $282 +$18 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $157 −$7 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $112 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $358 −$157 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$7 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$26 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $298 +$22 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $266 −$72 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $252 −$2 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $470 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $986 −$30 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$20 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$21 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $365 −$108 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $255 +$45 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $363 −$14 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $186 +$73 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $258 +$42 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $255 +$45 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$231 +335%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $173 +$35 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$4 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$26 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$12 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$4 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$57 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,348
other 0% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $285 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $73 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $34 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $13 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $24 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $68 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $91 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $38 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $21 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $282 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $77 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 647 -1.2% -10.6% 35% 29% -6.2%
≤30d 647 -1.2% -10.6% 35% 29% -6.2%
≤90d 647 -1.2% -10.6% 35% 29% -6.2%
all 647 -1.2% -10.6% 35% 29% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2062.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 29% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 24% -15.2%
15% -26.9% 20% -23.4%
20% -34.1% 17% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,337.18 · official $1,326.11 (match) · 3500 history records