Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fdd…d385
other · 1339 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,384 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,154 · open +$235
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$612
Realized+$1,154
Unrealized+$235
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1292 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$135
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1330 / 1339
History coverage49d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit7%
Chart Positions 9 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$151
7 days−$313
14 days−$298
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 100¢ $185 $416 +$232 (+125%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 69¢ 100¢ $115 $166 +$51 (+44%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 9¢ 8¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-3%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 57¢ 57¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 38¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $99 +$14 +14%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $16 +$13 +79%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1 $0 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $53 +$22 +40%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $9 +$29 +307%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $139 −$139 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $58 +$23 +40%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $40 +$10 +25%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 08 $32 −$32 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 08 $59 −$54 -92%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $86 −$43 -50%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 08 $49 +$15 +30%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $3 +$9 +276%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $35 +$28 +79%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $93 −$91 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $20 −$18 -89%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $44 +$17 +38%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $30 −$19 -64%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $98 +$39 +40%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $102 +$12 +12%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $18 +$5 +26%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $80 −$46 -58%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $4 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $10 +$5 +51%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $93 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $44 −$44 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $238 −$3 -1%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $7 +$11 +146%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $176 +$68 +39%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $8 +$5 +65%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $26 −$25 -96%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $11 +$10 +92%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $12 −$2 -14%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 02 $16 −$3 -18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $400 +$122 +31%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 01 $9 −$9 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Jun 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 01 $72 −$52 -72%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 01 $27 −$13 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% +$1,946
politics 26% $0
sports 18% −$557
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $8 36m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $6 43m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $6 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $21 47m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2 47m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 7¢ $1 47m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $4 47m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 30¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 30¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $6 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $81 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $22 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $14 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 11¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $13 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 37¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 37¢ $12 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $7 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 37¢ $12 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $12 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $12 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $3 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 35¢ $2 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 35¢ $8 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 34¢ $3 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $28 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)+16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -12.6% -20.9% 43% 43% -41.4%
≤30d 76 -2.5% -11.8% 59% 50% -10.6%
≤90d 1330 +28.3% +16.1% 97% 6% -7.7%
all 1330 +28.3% +16.1% 97% 6% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.1% 6% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here +5.0% 5% -16.5%
15% -5.1% 3% -24.6%
20% -14.4% 3% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $611.64 · official $611.64 (match) · 3500 history records