Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fe0…3e4c
crypto · 1965 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$1,227 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1049 / 689
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1738 / 1965
History coverage103d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1738 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$322
14 days+$853
30 days+$1,067
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$7 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$8 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,227
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 450 +14.5% +3.6% 62% 57% +1.6%
≤30d 1468 +14.2% +3.3% 61% 58% -0.1%
≤90d 1737 +12.0% +1.4% 60% 58% -1.1%
all 1738 +12.0% +1.4% 60% 58% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.4% 58% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -8.3% 51% -10.6%
15% -17.2% 46% -19.2%
20% -25.3% 40% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3400 history records