Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fed…c3bd
crypto · 1525 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,940 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,941 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$19
Realized−$3,941
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses542 / 982
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1524 / 1525
Avg bet$24
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1524 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$165
14 days−$483
30 days−$634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 33¢ 38¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 48¢ 62¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$67 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$14 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$26 +253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$29 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +27%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$28 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -95%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$17 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$3,943
other 0% +$36
sports 0% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $55 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $53 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $31 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 -12.7% -21.0% 34% 32% -12.3%
≤30d 696 -10.8% -19.3% 35% 33% -14.9%
≤90d 1414 -17.3% -25.2% 36% 31% -19.5%
all 1524 -17.8% -25.6% 36% 31% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.6% 31% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 28% -27.2%
15% -39.2% 25% -34.2%
20% -45.2% 23% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.01 · official $19.24 (match) · 3500 history records