Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:52:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7007…5c07
crypto · 774 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,207 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,591 · open −$75
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$210
Realized−$4,591
Unrealized−$75
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses585 / 183
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$166
Open positions6
Markets (closed)768 / 774
History coverage114d
Avg bet$298
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 6 History 768 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$278
7 days+$278
14 days+$278
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 90¢ 88¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 90¢ 94¢ $65 $68 +$3 (+4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 93¢ 22¢ $100 $24 −$76 (-76%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 85¢ 86¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Peyton Stearns 94¢ 0¢ $1,493 $0 −$1,493 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals 95¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster Challengers 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus Marcos Giron 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Kiwoom DRX 84¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season Contra 83¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesana Francisco Comesana 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jacob Fearnley 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Toby Samuel 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers Challengers 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage UNO MILLE 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 91¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Jun 14 $416 +$23 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
ITF Casablanca: Aran Teixido Garcia vs Luna Vujovic Jun 14 $200 +$16 +8%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Stefano D'agostino Jun 14 $511 +$38 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
ITF Merzig: Tamila Gadamauri vs Valentina Steiner Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 14 $270 +$17 +6%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil Jun 14 $200 +$15 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$11 +4%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $125 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$3 +8%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $450 +$14 +3%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $420 +$43 +10%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $15 +$3 +19%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $101 +$7 +7%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $423 +$22 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $87 +$13 +14%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $79 +$7 +8%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $100 +$13 +13%
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $49 +$6 +12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? May 27 $10 +$2 +20%
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Sea May 19 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Se May 19 $75 +$4 +5%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe May 18 $75 +$3 +4%
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur May 18 $65 +$8 +12%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Simona Waltert vs Anhelina Kalinina May 18 $60 +$7 +12%
ITF Bucharest: Valeriia Artemeva vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas May 18 $1 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: Kinoa vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - European Pr May 18 $592 −$534 -90%
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs P May 18 $21 −$19 -92%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal May 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$3,018
sports 27% −$1,027
other 2% −$287
world 0% −$336
politics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 95¢ $110 40m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin SELL Viktorija Golubic 100¢ $110 41m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 91¢ $55 50m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 96¢ $100 52m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 94¢ $100 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 94¢ $100 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 85¢ $5 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 84¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Aran Teixido Garcia vs Luna Vujovic SELL Luna Vujovic 100¢ $216 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 91¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 91¢ $100 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 90¢ $100 1h
ITF Casablanca: Aran Teixido Garcia vs Luna Vujovic BUY Luna Vujovic 92¢ $100 2h
ITF Casablanca: Aran Teixido Garcia vs Luna Vujovic BUY Luna Vujovic 93¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Stefano D'agostino SELL Sean Cuenin 99¢ $549 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Stefano D'agostino BUY Sean Cuenin 92¢ $301 3h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Stefano D'agostino BUY Sean Cuenin 92¢ $200 3h
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Hanfmann/Struff SELL Hanfmann/Struff 99¢ $287 3h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil SELL Rwanda 100¢ $216 4h
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Hanfmann/Struff BUY Hanfmann/Struff 93¢ $200 4h
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Hanfmann/Struff BUY Hanfmann/Struff 93¢ $69 4h
ITF Merzig: Tamila Gadamauri vs Valentina Steiner BUY Valentina Steiner 81¢ $10 5h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Stefano D'agostino BUY Sean Cuenin 87¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -1.1% -10.6% 87% 28% -4.3%
≤30d 103 -8.0% -16.8% 83% 21% -9.7%
≤90d 438 -5.8% -14.8% 79% 33% -13.5%
all 768 -5.0% -14.0% 76% 31% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 31% -11.3%
10% -22.2% 14% -19.8%
15% -29.8% 7% -27.5%
20% -36.6% 5% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $209.86 · official $209.86 (match) · 3447 history records