Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:53:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7007…3b04
crypto · 679 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$255 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$254 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$254
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses213 / 465
Open positions1
Markets (closed)678 / 679
History coverage38d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day71.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$109
14 days−$192
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 68¢ 50¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$255
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -17.4% -25.3% 34% 13% -22.9%
≤30d 584 -9.4% -18.0% 30% 12% -18.5%
≤90d 678 -8.5% -17.2% 31% 13% -18.1%
all 678 -8.5% -17.2% 31% 13% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 13% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 5% -26.0%
15% -32.3% 3% -33.1%
20% -39.0% 2% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.46 · official $1.37 (match) · 2833 history records