Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7010…eede
world · 55 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$124 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$95 · open +$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized+$95
Unrealized+$30
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses24 / 24
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)48 / 55
History coverage14d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 7 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$99
14 days+$95
30 days+$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Yes 26¢ 55¢ $23 $48 +$25 (+109%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? Yes 42¢ 50¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+18%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 44¢ 59¢ $12 $16 +$4 (+34%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 19¢ 20¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 38¢ 36¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes 11¢ 5¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 14 $38 +$10 +26%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 14 $1 $0 -13%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 13 $14 +$22 +155%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +83%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $26 +$29 +111%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 13 $11 −$5 -45%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $13 +$2 +13%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $3 +$4 +118%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 11 $10 +$5 +45%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$2 +31%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$2 -16%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +7%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 −$7 -36%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 08 $34 +$17 +50%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $14 +$20 +140%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $14 −$1 -10%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 08 $6 −$1 -18%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $24 +$10 +39%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $1 $0 +27%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $30 −$13 -41%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $3 +$3 +121%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $5 −$1 -24%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $13 +$7 +57%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $3 +$1 +19%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $11 +$3 +26%
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $9 +$3 +34%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $1 −$1 -60%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $1 $0 +27%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $5 +$4 +77%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $24 −$8 -32%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 04 $33 −$1 -2%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 03 $15 −$6 -42%
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? Jun 03 $14 +$5 +38%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? Jun 03 $3 $0 -12%
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? Jun 02 $10 $0 -4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 02 $5 −$1 -20%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $9 +$11 +122%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? Jun 01 $3 −$1 -33%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 01 $9 −$5 -57%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 01 $1 $0 -28%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 01 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 69% +$128
sports 19% −$19
other 4% −$4
politics 4% +$4
tech 2% +$5
crypto 1% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $5 8m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 38¢ $3 17m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 47¢ $5 24m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 26¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 26¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 31¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 76¢ $6 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 76¢ $26 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 54¢ $9 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 55¢ $15 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 66¢ $13 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 62¢ $12 1h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 51¢ $5 3h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 50¢ $1 3h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 41¢ $15 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 27¢ $6 4h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 58¢ $4 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 46¢ $0 11h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 37¢ $9 11h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 65¢ $1 12h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 51¢ $13 25h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 64¢ $0 26h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 65¢ $0 26h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 66¢ $0 26h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 63¢ $0 26h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 55¢ $0 26h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 BUY Yes 69¢ $1 26h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL Yes 60¢ $20 27h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 50¢ $6 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +24.1% +12.3% 61% 57% +22.5%
≤30d 48 +10.0% -0.5% 50% 46% +7.7%
≤90d 48 +10.0% -0.5% 50% 46% +7.7%
all 48 +10.0% -0.5% 50% 46% +7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.5% 46% +7.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.0% 42% -2.6%
15% -18.7% 27% -12.0%
20% -26.7% 19% -20.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.17 · official $103.17 (match) · 360 history records