Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:31:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x7011…2128 crypto 571 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$210 (-3%) realized −$315 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate43%246W / 325L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day27.0pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$82
14 days+$147
30 days−$196
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$317
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -1.6% -11.0% 57% 56% -5.2%
≤30d 255 -2.5% -11.8% 52% 49% -14.4%
≤90d 571 -11.3% -19.7% 43% 42% -14.1%
all 571 -11.3% -19.7% 43% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 42% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 41% -22.3%
15% -34.4% 37% -29.8%
20% -40.9% 29% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$8 · ×1.17 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$315
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses246 / 325
Open positions0
Markets (closed)571 / 571
History coverage32d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 571 Trades
no open positions (275 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$8 +147%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$3 +198%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +228%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$9 +389%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$29 +266%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 45h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 46h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 46h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1162 history records