Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7019…e846
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 33% -29.5%
≤30d 9 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 33% -29.5%
≤90d 9 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 33% -29.5%
all 9 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 33% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.7% 33% -29.5%
10% -35.5% 33% -36.2%
15% -41.8% 11% -42.4%
20% -47.5% 0% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records