Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7026…a5cf
crypto · 968 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses684 / 284
Open positions0
Markets (closed)968 / 968
History coverage73d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 968 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$215
14 days−$196
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 400 -25.7% -32.8% 61% 48% -18.6%
≤30d 413 -11.4% -19.8% 62% 49% -11.5%
≤90d 968 -3.1% -12.3% 71% 51% -10.7%
all 968 -3.1% -12.3% 71% 51% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 51% -10.7%
10% -20.7% 29% -19.3%
15% -28.4% 11% -27.1%
20% -35.4% 3% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2148 history records