Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:00:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7029…60cf
crypto · 1294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$108
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1093 / 198
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1291 / 1294
History coverage34d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day62.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1291 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$179
14 days−$93
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 39¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+156%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 61¢ 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-57%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$70
weather 4% −$19
sports 2% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 20m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $2 52m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 14h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 48¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 14h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 52¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -19.4% -27.1% 71% 29% -23.8%
≤30d 1228 -1.7% -11.1% 85% 36% -10.8%
≤90d 1291 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 36% -10.7%
all 1291 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 36% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 36% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 15% -19.2%
15% -27.3% 5% -27.0%
20% -34.4% 2% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $3.00 (match) · 3500 history records