Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7029…1136
sports · 128 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,054 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$803 · open −$1,251
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,667
Realized−$803
Unrealized−$1,251
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses56 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$319
Open positions16
Markets (closed)112 / 128
History coverage5d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day64.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 16 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,354
7 days−$803
14 days−$803
30 days−$803
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 69¢ 82¢ $1,572 $1,890 +$318 (+20%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Over 63¢ 100¢ $890 $1,406 +$516 (+58%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 64¢ 100¢ $556 $865 +$310 (+56%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 18¢ 100¢ $24 $133 +$109 (+455%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Aurora Gaming 34¢ 90¢ $42 $113 +$71 (+166%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Karmine Corp Blue 48¢ 52¢ $97 $105 +$8 (+8%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 27¢ 14¢ $65 $33 −$31 (-48%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 41¢ 32¢ $42 $33 −$9 (-22%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Vitality 46¢ 14¢ $95 $29 −$66 (-70%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 6¢ 27¢ $6 $27 +$21 (+329%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $981 $14 −$967 (-99%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Spirit 60¢ 10¢ $52 $8 −$43 (-84%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 7¢ 50¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+614%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 45¢ 1¢ $244 $3 −$241 (-99%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $137 $1 −$136 (-99%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 27¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 11¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Team Heretics 68¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 52¢ 0¢ $654 $0 −$654 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Legacy 66¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) paiN 69¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) UCAM Esports Club 58¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $54 +$46 +86%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 12 $13 +$7 +55%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$2 +124%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $261 +$234 +90%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $283 +$380 +134%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,295 −$1,287 -99%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $186 +$64 +34%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$5 +180%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $763 −$752 -99%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $15 +$35 +238%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $13 +$13 +101%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $132 +$118 +90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $12 +$13 +105%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,101 +$1,896 +172%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $503 −$496 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $300 −$295 -98%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $304 −$300 -99%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $91 −$90 -99%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $63 −$57 -92%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 +$4 +93%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $256 +$188 +73%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $457 +$543 +119%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $49 +$17 +34%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $42 +$19 +46%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $180 +$79 +44%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $486 +$264 +54%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $224 +$141 +63%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $15 +$12 +79%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,083 +$615 +57%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $53 −$52 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $29 −$29 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $722 +$958 +133%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $47 +$33 +70%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $144 +$6 +4%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 11 $36 −$5 -13%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $104 −$102 -99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $169 −$168 -99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $79 −$77 -98%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 11 $167 +$103 +62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $263 +$445 +169%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$302
other 13% −$2,356
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $6 37m
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 7¢ $1 40m
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) BUY Vitality 47¢ $48 45m
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) BUY Vitality 45¢ $49 46m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 29¢ $3 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 26¢ $2 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 27¢ $124 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 11¢ $23 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Under 38¢ $574 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Under 36¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 33¢ $9 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 61¢ $9 2h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Spirit 60¢ $22 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 18¢ $5 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 18¢ $19 2h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $663 2h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 79¢ $1,295 3h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 34¢ $43 3h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) BUY Team Heretics 68¢ $27 3h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) BUY Team Heretics 68¢ $34 3h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 63¢ $12 3h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 50¢ $166 3h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 57¢ $13 3h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 56¢ $5 3h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 55¢ $580 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $1 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $2 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $1 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $123 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -3.5% -12.6% 50% 49% -12.8%
≤30d 112 -3.5% -12.6% 50% 49% -12.8%
≤90d 112 -3.5% -12.6% 50% 49% -12.8%
all 112 -3.5% -12.6% 50% 49% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 49% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 47% -21.1%
15% -28.6% 44% -28.7%
20% -35.6% 39% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,667.16 · official $4,667.16 (match) · 380 history records